Articles Tagged "World Temperatures"

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Lawrence Solomon: More evidence it used to be really hot out there
Friday, May 27th 2011, 6:38 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A linchpin in the global warming theory is the claim that we now live in a time of unprecedented warmth. Unfortunately for those who assert this theory, the history books all said it was hot during the centuries immediately before and after 1000 AD – the time known the Medieval Warm Period.

“We have to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period” read one email from the asserters, circa 1995, unimpressed that England grew grapes and the Vikings settled Greenland during the centuries they viewed as cooler than today’s. They promoted the theory that, although Europe might have been hot, the rest of the world was not.

Except that Chinese experts disagreed. According to the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China was one degree warmer during the Medieval Warm Period. The Chinese Academy determined this by looking at records of where citrus groves and subtropical herbs were cultivated at that time – at far more northerly regions than today. As with Europe, the advanced Chinese civilization had a wealth of historical evidence to rebut the claims of the asserters. Other evidence – reported by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, no less — shows that Japan was also hot during the Medieval Warm Period.

Now comes more evidence still, this time from South America. In a study published this month in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, researchers at the University of Pennsylvania found that Peru was warm during the Medieval Warm Period. Although South American civilization of 1000 years ago didn’t leave behind a rich historical record for experts to assess, sediment deposits in a Peruvian lake had a story of their own to tell. Based on the researchers’ analysis of the lake bed’s composition over the last 2300 years, they were able to unearth data showing Peru’s temperature to have been in line with that elsewhere during the Medieval Warm Period.
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Bryan Layland: 2011 will be a cold year
Thursday, May 26th 2011, 11:16 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Chart showing the the current and the original predictions

In a peer reviewed paper entitled “Influence of the Southern Oscillation on Tropospheric Temperature” published in 2009, Maclean, de Freitas and Carter established that global temperatures followed the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) with a lag of between six and eight months. Obviously, this meant that global temperatures could be predicted about seven months ahead.*

In June 2010, I published a graph predicting that temperatures will fall sharply around October 2010. Exactly this happened. Since then I have regularly updated the graphs and predictions. As the Southern oscillation index is still in the “la Nina” region, the cooling will, almost certainly, last until late in 2011. As a result, 2011 will be a cool–possibly cold–year. All the temperature records show this cooling.

What is remarkable about this is that a retired engineer with access to the Internet has been able to make accurate predictions of future climate. Yet, to my knowledge, no computer-based climate model nor any mainstream “climate scientist” predicted this cooling. To me, this is truly remarkable.

Click source to see more, inc latest forecast
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Climate Change is Dominated by Natural Phenomena by Dan Pangburn P.E. guest post at Climate Realists
Friday, March 11th 2011, 3:19 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Climate Change Causes

Examination of measured data and data that has been determined using a measured proxy (the time-integral of sunspot number) reveals that climate change, as described by average global temperature (agt), whether it is called Global Warming, Global Climate Disruption or even Global Cooling, has been caused, at least primarily and probably nearly entirely, by natural phenomena. A fairly simple equation that uses measurements of these phenomena accurately (R2= 0.88) calculates agt over the entire period of when it has been accurately measured (since about 1895). The equation and a graph of the latest results are given below.

The equation posits that agt variation depends on three things. They are (1) the time-integral of sunspot number (this is a proxy that correlates with energy retained by the planet), (2) the effective sea surface temperature, and (3) the change in the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. The equation contains coefficients that set the fraction of the total change that each of these three contributes. The coefficients are adjusted to find the best match of calculated agt to measured agt. The closeness of match is determined by the coefficient of determination, R2.

The coefficients that result in the highest possible R2 allow determination of the fraction that each of the three phenomena contributes.
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Climate Change Satellite’ Gets its Day in the Sun — Finally by Anne Minard
Wednesday, February 23rd 2011, 10:34 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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The Earth-orbiting satellite Glory will help pursue the sun-climate connection when it launches on Wednesday. Credit: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

NASA is launching an Earth-orbiting satellite called Glory tomorrow that will tackle a highly charged question: How much can the sun contribute to climate change?
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Joe Bastardi: "A La Nina That Is King?... More Cold to Follow!"
Monday, January 24th 2011, 5:49 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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CLICK for MUST SEE VIDEO link from Joe Bastardi/ he has a lot to say about the current downgrade of SC24 and the current cold winter.

He also gives an insight for this years temperature and his forecast for the NEXT 30 YEARS
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P. Gosselin: Signs Of Strengthening Global Cooling by Matti Vooro
Saturday, January 22nd 2011, 3:19 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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The entire planet has stopped warming since 1998 and, more significantly, has started to cool since 2003. Instead of warning people of cooler weather for the next 30 years, there’s still the distinct false sense of expectation of unprecedented warming. People and governments are being urged to go entirely in the wrong direction for the wrong reasons – and at a potentially horrendous price.

Just look at what happened in UK. Ten years ago Britons were told to expect global warming only and that snow would be a thing of the past. Yet the opposite has arrived, three winters in a row. This winter it crippled the entire nation for nearly a month in December 2010.
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"New Little Ice Age Cannot Be Ruled Out" by Rickmer Flor
Thursday, December 16th 2010, 7:53 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Everybody is talking about global warming - but in Germany and also in many other countries around the world people are currently fighting with the adversities of extreme cold. And indeed: "The year 2010 will be the coldest for ten years in Germany," said Thomas Globig from the weather service Meteo Media talking to . And it might even get worse: "It is quite possible that we are at the beginning of a Little Ice Age," the meteorologist said. Even the Arctic ice could spread further to the south.

It is already clear: the average temperatures in Germany this year (8.1 degrees Celsius) were 0.2 degrees below the long term measured average of 8.3 degrees. "I fear we will end up still significantly lower by the end of the year", said Globig. The long-term average is actually the average of all German stations from 1961 to 1990.

Coldest December in 100 years

In Berlin, there was an absolute cold record in early December, "For 100 years it had not been as cold as in the first decade of December," said Globig. This also applied to other regions. But why is it so cold just now? Might it have anything to do with climate change? "I'm very sceptical", replied Globig. A few years ago when we had a period of mild winters many climate scientists warned that winter sport in Germany's low mountain ranges would soon no longer be possible anymore because of global warming. "Now they are saying: the cold winters are a consequence of global warming - a questionable implication," according to Globig.
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NASA and IPCC Exploit Or Ignore Natural Events Like Solar Flares, Aurora And Weather: by Dr. Tim Ball
Tuesday, August 10th 2010, 8:38 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
On August 3rd and 4th a solar flare erupted from the surface of the Sun coincident with a sunspot equal in area to the Earth. Many people saw the associated increase in aurora visible in western North America as far south as Iowa. They were most visible in the auroral belt shown on the left, which is well north at this time of year.

Many prepared for other impacts and all sorts of hysterical predictions were made, including claims this was the start of increasingly severe activity leading to 2012. (Yes, the dreaded Mayan calendar year nonsense). The only thing that materialized was extensive and dazzling aurora displays.

NASA Continues Its Shameless Role As Chicken Little

Earlier in June 2010, NASA put out similar warnings about such solar storms. Dr. Richard Fisher, director of NASA’s Heliophysics Division warned Britain they faced, “…widespread power blackouts and be left without critical communication signals for long periods of time, after the earth is hit by a once-in-a-generation “space storm”. “It will disrupt communication devices such as satellites and car navigations, air travel, the banking system, our computers, everything that is electronic. It will cause major problems for the world.” “Large areas will be without electricity power and to repair that damage will be hard as that takes time.
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Russian Scientist: Expect Cooling – Pols Sitting On The Wrong Horse
Sunday, April 25th 2010, 3:30 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
In the German edition of Ria Novosti, Russian scientist Oleg Pokrovsky of the Main Geophysical Observatory says the world should expect cooling – and not warming – and that this will interfere with Russia’s plans to exploit the Arctic’s rich resources. The climate has been cooling since 1998.

At a climate research conference for the Arctic and Antarctic in St. Petersburg, Friday, Pokrovsky said the Earth’s temperature fluctuates in 60-year cycles.

There isn’t going to be an ice age, but temperatures will drop to levels last seen in the 1950s and 1960s.

Pokrovsky adds:

Right now all components of the climate system are entering a negative phase. The cooling will reach it’s peak in 15 years. Politicians who have geared up for warming are sitting on the wrong horse.

The Northeast Passage will freeze over and will be passable only with icebreakers.

Pokrovsky also claims that the IPCC, which has prophesized global warming, has ignored many factors. He also noted that most American weather stations are located in cities where temperatures are always higher.

We don’t know everything that’s happening. The climate system is very complex and the IPCC is not the final truth on the matter.
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Sun blamed for Europe’s colder winters
Wednesday, April 14th 2010, 7:06 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
When the Sun’s magnetic output is low, winters in Europe tend to be cooler than average – whereas higher output corresponds to warmer winters. That is the conclusion of a new study by physicists in the UK and Germany that looked at the relationship between winter temperatures in England and the strength of the Sun's magnetic emissions over the last 350 years. The group predicts that, global warming notwithstanding, Europe is likely to continue to experience cold winters for many years to come.

The possibility of a link between European winter temperatures and solar activity can be seen in historical records from the second half of the seventeenth century. For about 50 years the Sun remained free of sunspots (in contrast to its normal 11-year cycle of sunspot highs and lows) and at this time Europe experienced a number of harsh winters. Motivated by the fact that the relatively cold winters of the past few years have come at a time when solar activity fell to the lowest values for 100 years, Mike Lockwood of the University of Reading and colleagues set out to establish whether or not there is a strong connection.

Lockwood and colleagues used data from the Central England Temperature record. This provides monthly temperature data from several monitoring stations in central England all the way back to 1659 – the world's longest instrumental temperature record. The researchers first removed the estimated contribution from the warming recorded in the northern hemisphere as a whole over the past century – which is widely believed to have been caused by increasing levels of manmade carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Hemispheric temperature records data back to 1850; to extend the analysis back to 1659 they used data from a number of different proxy sources, such as tree rings, isotope concentrations in stalagmites, sediment depths, lake heights and documentary evidence.

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