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Temperature and sunspot records threatened! by Rich Apuzzo
Monday, August 24th 2009, 8:23 PM UTC
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Just when you think temperatures are finally getting back up to normal levels we have a weekend like this past one, which featured near-record cold yet again. The high on Saturday was only 71 degrees, and the old record for the coldest high temperature was 68 degrees. On Sunday we only did one better with a high of 72 as clouds remained across the area along with a few sprinkles. The cold continued into this morning with lows in the low to mid 50s, just 3 to 5 degrees from the record low of 50 from 1942. Not surprisingly, we’re now running more than 110 degrees below normal for August and about 450 degrees below normal for the summer!

We’re seeing big changes today with sunshine across the area this morning and highs expected to get close to 80 this afternoon. The normal high and low are 84 and 63 today, so we’ll stay below normal one more day before getting back into the low to mid 80s tomorrow and Wednesday.

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Before we get too warm (as if that’s possible this year), another cold front will push south late Wednesday into early Thursday with mixed clouds and isolated showers and thunderstorms from Wednesday evening through Thursday. We’ll stay in an unsettled pattern from Thursday into the coming weekend as more cool air slides southeast under a large area of upper low pressure extending from eastern Canada into the eastern United States. At this point we’re not looking too stormy, but there may be daily chances for showers and thundershowers from Thursday into the coming weekend. Highs will generally be in the upper 70s to near 80 for the second half of the week, assuring us that August will end well below normal in temperatures one week from today.

In the bigger picture, we’re normally approaching the peak of the hurricane season as we head into early September, but after 2 minimal tropical storms (Ana and Claudette) and one major hurricane, which never made landfall, we’re back to a tranquil pattern across the Atlantic Ocean and no new tropical storms are expected over the next 7 days, which means we will have had only 3 storms in the first half of the season…which is well below normal. Typically we would have 5 named storms including 3 hurricanes by the first week of September, but that won’t happen this year.

Speaking of quiet and records, the sun is still spotless, now at 44 days and that places us in the top 10 longest periods of calm in history. We’ll be in the top 5 by midweek and if we can get to 53 days (early next week) we’ll not only be in the longest sunspot drought of the current solar minimum, but this will be the quietest pattern since the early 1900s. Some solar physicists are forecasting a minimum rivaling those we had during the Little Ice Age and I agree with them. This one will change weather patterns in ways that we have not witnessed in hundreds of years…

I'll have more on the solar minimum at The Voice of America rally on September 5th. Join me and more than 10,000 like-minded people for the afternoon.

Rich Apuzzo
Chief Meteorologist
Skyeye Weather LLC
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